Systems Designer & Analyst · Climate & Complex Problems

Every degraded landscape contains the map of its own recovery

The coupling that drove collapse is the same coupling that carries restoration. The question was never whether recovery is possible. It was always: where do you start?

Biotic Pump Land–Atmosphere Coupling Restoration Practice
Pakistan · Canada · Spain · Portugal · Colombia · Amazonas · Arctic
19Works & publications
02Peer-reviewed & published
08Advisory roles
05Active field & research sites
§ 01 Approach

I design systems that find where coupled problems break.

My work is a method more than a domain. I build analytical systems (attribution pipelines, early-warning detectors, landscape-intelligence engines) that locate the coupling driving a failure, then show where it can be repaired.

The forest is not a passive surface. It is an active regulator of the climate that sustains it.

It runs from first-principles theory (surface energy-flux partitioning, latent-heat dynamics, boundary-layer physics, biome radiative forcing, and the biotic pump) through observational attribution and acoustic early-warning, out into restoration on the ground. Atmosphere, water, ecosystems, disaster, even economies: different systems, the same lens. The ventures below are the vehicles that carry it from the analysis into the watershed.

Portrait of Ali Bin Shahid
Ali Bin Shahid · Islamabad, 33.6°N 73.0°E
§ 02 On the ground

Active field & research sites.

Not only published, but actively deployed. Live restoration engagements and ongoing field research across four countries, where the coupled-systems methodology is tested and refined.

01

Buturama Creek

Aguachica · Magdalena Medio, Colombia

Scientific advisory on a 7,238-ha watershed restoration: riparian corridors and high-Andean forest replanted to recover water regulation for 128,000 people. Land–water coupling applied at basin scale.

Active · Field Scientific advisory · Green Deck 08.3°N 73.6°W
02

Ten Lives

Côa Valley · Portugal / Spain

Head Scientist for a rewilding-and-restoration programme in the Iberian schist highlands, translating ecohydrology and land-surface science into on-the-ground recovery design.

Active · Field Head Scientist 40.9°N 07.1°W
03

HOPE!

Maestrazgo Massif · Valencia hinterland, Spain

Consulting on Mediterranean water-cycle and restoration design across the Maestrazgo: karst hydrology, vegetation–rainfall feedbacks, and the recovery of degraded upland catchments.

Active · Field Consultant 40.5°N 00.4°W
04

Alberta

Canada · Precision Ecohydrology

Active field research in applied ecohydrology and land–atmosphere coupling: community-scale restoration and boundary-layer observation, where the ideas get field-tested with practitioners.

Ongoing · Research Research lead 53.5°N 113.5°W
05

New Jersey

United States

Ongoing research on invasive-species dynamics and land-surface change: how shifting vegetation cover alters local hydrology and the surface energy balance.

Ongoing · Research Field research 40.1°N 74.7°W
§ 03 Systems & Analysis

Analytical systems for coupled problems.

Selected work: the systems behind the papers. Method over domain, the same lens pointed at whichever coupling is failing.

Flagship
Bioacoustics · Early-warning

BioAcoustics-EWI

Acoustic prediction of ecosystem hydric stress across five Australian biomes. Critical-slowing-down early-warning on soundscapes vs flux-tower soil moisture: predicts drying 3–35 days ahead of conventional drought indices.

OSF pre-registered · m24jn · 129-script pipeline
Radiative accounting

Cooling-Service Closure

Event-scale radiative accounting of tropical convection: how much surface latent heat becomes top-of-atmosphere cooling.

Remote sensing · ongoing

Invasives Systems

Systems analysis of aquatic invasive spread (Eurasian watermilfoil) linking remote sensing to hydrology, ongoing in New Jersey.

Selected from ~50 analytical projects.

§ 04 Research

Process-based work on land–atmosphere coupling.

Nineteen works and counting: biotic-pump theory, biome radiative forcing, water and orographic systems, freshwater forcing, and aerosol–rainfall physics. Code, data, and methodology open-source on GitHub; reproducibility is the standard. Full record: ORCID 0009-0003-9709-4241 ↗.

Systems key · color maps to domain, not decoration
Waterhydrology, watersheds
Heatenergy, radiation
Forestbiosphere, biotic pump
Cryospherefreshwater forcing
Atmospheremoisture, weather
Soilland-surface, invasives
Bioacousticsliving-systems signal

Peer-reviewed & published

/ 03
The credibility anchors: the foundation of the ET-feedback and biotic-pump framework, plus invited work. Cross-cutting across domains.
2025
In Defence of the Biotic Pump
Journal of Atmospheric Science Research · with P. Bunyard & R. De Laet
DOI ↗
2025
The Hidden Dance of Rainfall
Book chapter · Living Waters: Pulse of the Planet
ISBN ↗
2026
Ecological Statecraft in the Midst of War: Water, Regeneration, and the Future of Gulf Security
Carnegie Endowment · 2026 · with Olivia Lazard
Carnegie ↗

The cooling service of living systems

/ 05
Biome-specific radiative forcing: the argument that ecosystems are active climate regulators, not passive surfaces.
2026
Tropical forests cool the planet by the convective clouds they build
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗
2026
The excluded forcing: satellite evidence that land-surface biophysics perturbs Earth's regional radiative budget at the scale of CO₂
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗
2026
Empirical constraints on the fraction of surface latent heat reaching the top of atmosphere as net radiative cooling
EarthArXiv preprint
DOI ↗
2026
Biome-specific radiative forcing coefficients reveal ecosystems as active climate regulators
ESSOAr preprint · v2
DOI ↗
2026
Does biome-specific surface energy partitioning propagate to the top of atmosphere?
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗

Biotic pump & continental moisture

/ 03
How biotic circulation and land-surface reception govern where inland rainfall lands, or fails to.
2026
Collapse of the moisture corridors that sustain inland rainfall in the Amazon and Congo
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗
2026
ENSO modulation of the Amazonian low-level jet: more moisture, less rain, and the role of land-surface reception
EarthArXiv preprint
DOI ↗
2026
Deforestation edge effects on soil-moisture persistence in the Amazon Basin: minimum viable restoration scales
EarthArXiv preprint
DOI ↗

Water, orography & drought

/ 04
Terrain-constrained water potential and the atmospheric mechanisms that suppress it, from Pakistan's orographic ladder to California and the Iberian karst.
2026
Water regulation as a distinct driver of California drought: a six-channel atmospheric cascade
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗
2026
Pakistan's Orographic Ladder: terrain-constrained water potential and the atmospheric mechanism suppressing it
EarthArXiv preprint
DOI ↗
2026
The Atmospheric Valve: vegetation-controlled lifting condensation level drives cloudburst mortality and suppresses water yield
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗
2026
Iberian Mediterranean karst aquifers are systematically larger than their official designations (~2.1 km³/yr un-monitored discharge)
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗

Freshwater forcing & the cryosphere

/ 03
Subarctic hydroelectric discharge as an unrecognized forcing on boundary layers, silica delivery, and the AMOC.
2026
Observational detection of persistent boundary-layer modification by subarctic hydroelectric dam discharge
ESSOAr preprint · with A. Yates
DOI ↗
2026
Subarctic hydroelectric dams as an unrecognized freshwater forcing on the AMOC
ESSOAr preprint · with A. Yates
DOI ↗
2026
Hydroelectric regulation decouples Arctic silica delivery from the diatom bloom across twenty subarctic rivers
EarthArXiv preprint
DOI ↗

Aerosol–rainfall & urban land-surface

/ 01
A natural experiment: two decades of a city's changing vegetation, read in its rainfall.
2026
First observational evidence that biological giant CCN control urban rainfall character: Islamabad's paper-mulberry removal (2003–2025)
ESSOAr preprint
DOI ↗
§ 05 Ventures

The vehicles: work carried into the world.

One thesis, three vehicles: the commercial, research, and practice instruments that move coupled-systems science from the paper into the watershed.

01 · Commercial

LandIQ

Landscape intelligence for Pakistan. Water, carbon, energy, and air read as one coupled system at district resolution. Co-founded with Khurram Irshad.

landiq-go.pages.dev ↗
02 · Research

PSKL

Earth Systems Intelligence. Global scope. The research vehicle for biotic-pump, boundary-layer, and biome-forcing work that informs the other two.

site forthcoming
03 · Practice & Teaching

Precision Ecohydrology

Canada. Teaching, applied ecohydrology, and community-scale restoration, where the ideas get field-tested with practitioners.

site forthcoming
§ 06 Advisory

Independent roles across the restoration community.

Scientific and advisory partnerships spanning Europe, North Africa, South America, and South Asia. Each engagement informs the next: methodology developed in one context, tested in another.

Head Scientist
Portugal · Spain
Scientific Advisor
Amazonas · Brazil
Advisor
Pakistan
Consultant
Jordan · Colombia
Consultant
Spain
Research Partner
Olivia Lazard · CarnegiePaper published · 2026
Europe · MENA
Research Partners
Peter Bunyard · Rob De Laet · Amy Yates
Co-authors
Steering Committee
NARDA
Pakistan
§ 07 Writing

Two voices, two audiences.

Longer-form writing across science, restoration, and belonging: different registers for different rooms.

01 · Science & Restoration

Regenesis

Essays, field notes, and published-research commentary on land–atmosphere coupling, the biotic pump, and the physics of recovery.

r3genesis.substack.com ↗
02 · Place & Belonging

Ehadnameh

A parallel current: cultural, civic, personal. Urdu for covenant. Writing on place, people, and the civic weather that surrounds restoration.

ehadnameh.substack.com ↗
§ 08 Contact

Let's start.

For research collaboration, commissioned work, advisory, speaking, or teaching, get in touch directly.